{"id":24317,"date":"2016-12-05T13:04:29","date_gmt":"2016-12-05T11:04:29","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/?p=24317"},"modified":"2016-12-05T13:04:29","modified_gmt":"2016-12-05T11:04:29","slug":"trump-i-entendre-la-masaenfurecida-viles-i-gents","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/?p=24317","title":{"rendered":"Trump, i entendre la @masaenfurecida | Viles i Gents"},"content":{"rendered":"

Origen: Trump, i entendre la @masaenfurecida | Viles i Gents<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n

\n

(Publicada a La Comarca el 2 de desembre del 2016)<\/strong><\/p>\n

Estats Units t\u00e9 nou president. Trump, contra tot pron\u00f2stic, ha ven\u00e7ut a Clinton, la cara m\u00e9s burocr\u00e0tica i armamentista dels Dem\u00f2crates. Per\u00f2 tamb\u00e9 ha ven\u00e7ut tota la gent d\u2019ordre del seu propi Partit Republic\u00e0.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

\n

Ja s\u2019ha dit molt sobre l\u2019extravag\u00e0ncia i el radicalisme de Trump, com que perseguir\u00e0 i emmurallar\u00e0 tot rastre mexic\u00e0 als States.
\nI el cas Trump no \u00e9s cap excepci\u00f3. S\u00f3n molts que lliguen l\u2019empobriment de la classe mitjana mundial, per la radicalitzaci\u00f3 dels efectes del capitalisme, en lo seu estat permanent de descontent. Diuen que aix\u00f2 ha portat a la massa enfurida a trencar en lo sistema, ja sigue en Trump a EUA, l\u2019emerg\u00e8ncia de l\u2019extremadreta a tota Europa, les noves esquerres a Gr\u00e8cia, lo Brexit anglo, los nous partits a Espanya, o el sobiranisme aqu\u00ed al costat.
\nEn tot cas, tamb\u00e9 als cient\u00edfics socials se mos ha posat en l\u2019ull de mira: no n\u2019hau encertat ni una, collons!, mos diuen. I poques enquestes havien pronosticat lo triomf de Trump, l\u2019\u00e8xit del Brexit, lo NO dels colombians al proc\u00e9s de pau en les FARC, la renovaci\u00f3 de la majoria a Rajoy, o el frac\u00e0s del sorpasso d\u2019Iglesias a(l posteriorment marginat) S\u00e1nchez. En fi, que per m\u00e9s que la ci\u00e8ncia social sigue m\u00e9s complexa que les naturals, als cient\u00edfics socials tamb\u00e9 mos cou.
\nI \u00e9s que predir el resultat d\u2019unes eleccions o els cracs de la borsa \u00e9s m\u00e9s complicat que pronosticar una tronada. Pronosticar qu\u00e8 farem los humans afecte directament al que finalment farem, perqu\u00e8 saber qu\u00e8 pot passar mos fa canviar el nostre comportament. Si per exemple tenim les capacitats de l\u2019omnipresent i sabem a ci\u00e8ncia certa qui guanyar\u00e0 les eleccions, acte seguit que ho comuniquem, aquells a qui no agrade gens eixe candidat, enlloc de decidir votar el seu partit af\u00ed, per\u00f2 m\u00e9s minoritari, decidiran votar-ne un en lo que tenen menys sintonia, per\u00f2 t\u00e9 m\u00e9s possibilitats de guanyar. I el pron\u00f2stic ja s\u2019ha trencat. Un comportament paregut si pronostiquem que un banc caur\u00e0, o que unes accions pujaran la setmana que ve, o qualsevol pron\u00f2stic d\u2019una ci\u00e8ncia sobre el comportament hum\u00e0. Per contra, si com l\u2019omnipresent, sabem que una tronada portar\u00e0 molta aigua, per m\u00e9s que fem o no fem lo pron\u00f2stic, los n\u00fagols no deixaran de portar aigua. Caos de tipus 2, li diuen.<\/p>\n

Natxo Sorolla<\/strong><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Origen: Trump, i entendre la @masaenfurecida | Viles i Gents (Publicada a La Comarca el 2 de desembre del 2016) Estats Units t\u00e9 nou president. Trump, contra tot pron\u00f2stic, ha ven\u00e7ut a Clinton, la cara m\u00e9s burocr\u00e0tica i armamentista dels Dem\u00f2crates. Per\u00f2 tamb\u00e9 ha ven\u00e7ut tota la gent d\u2019ordre del seu propi Partit Republic\u00e0. Ja […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":false,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[10,5,21],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-24317","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-matarranya","category-normalitzacio-del-catala","category-viles-i-gents"],"jetpack_publicize_connections":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"amp_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24317","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=24317"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24317\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":24318,"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/24317\/revisions\/24318"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=24317"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=24317"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lafranja.net\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=24317"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}